The Big Exciting Santonian Referendum of 2020

[Kyle]

4 April 2020

Welcome to the Mercanti-language livefeed for the Santonian Referendums 2020! The Kingdom of Saintonge is voting on five propositions - four constitutional amendments and one treaty ratification. Exit polling shows the constitutional amendments passing by wide margins, while the META ratification is still neck-and-neck, hence, this livefeed will be focusing on Proposition 5 (Ratification of the treaty for the Meterra Economic Treaty Association).

L'Indépendant's team will be posting updates via Facegram. Our team for tonight will be:

• Anne-Marcelline de Saint-Corentin @AMStCorentin, Mercanti edition assistant editor
• Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec, l'Indépendant's resident analyst
• Nicolas-Martin Delerestraint @nm_delerestraint, l'Indépendant commentator
• Finnbjörn Mösgaard @FinnbjornMosgaard, Mercanti-language reporter stationed at the Royal Elections Institute vote counting centre in the city of Saintes
• Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles @KyleMdeFlesselles, Mercanti translator
• Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl, Mercanti translator

 

[Kyle]

Finnbjörn Mösgaard @FinnbjornMosgaard • Follow •••
Official results are now coming in! First department to report its result is the Hautes-Andes. The Hautes-Andes gives a slight plurality against ratifying META - 10,829 votes separate "No" from "Yes". #STGReferendum2020

2,344 likes
3m ago

---

Nicholas-Martin Delerestraint @nm_delerestraint • Follow •••​

If this is how close the results for Proposition 5 will be, we're in for a very exciting night. #STGReferendum2020​

2m ago • Reply​

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

Given that the Hautes-Andes is a department that strongly votes for the National Party, it seems that even the ordinary National-voting folk are divided on META. #STGReferendum2020​

2m ago • Reply​

Nkenna Ezemonye @NkennaEzemonye • Follow •••​

May we ask for translations on the image?​

2m ago • Reply​

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles @KyleMdeFlesselles • Follow •••​

Hello Nkenna! Nice to see you join us! The images are from the visualisation widget that we have on our Santonian-language website (which unfortunately we don't have a Mercanti translation of).​

Under Derniers Resultats ("New Results") is the latest department to certify and submit its official results to the Royal Elections Institute. This count also includes the abstentions/blanks/spoiled ballots, which are disregarded when considering the referendum results as a whole.​

The running tally is on the right as Les Résultats Nationaux ("National Results"), which shows the current total of Oui (Yes/for ratification) and Non (No/against ratification) votes. Take note that the abstentions/blanks/spoiled ballots are not considered. Départements rapportants is the number of departments that have reported their results. The widget also shows the majority and which side is leading (Oui/Non). There is also a map and a chart of the results.​

On the lower left is autres départments, which shows the departments that had just reported their results, and those that have upcoming results. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles @KyleMdeFlesselles • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Puy-d'Or overturns the No lead, but only 1,738 votes separate Yes from No. #STGReferendum2020

3,512 likes
3m ago

---

Nicholas-Martin Delerestraint @nm_delerestraint • Follow •••​

This is going to be a very close fight. #STGReferendum2020​

2m ago • Reply​

Finnbjörn Mösgaard @FinnbjornMosgaard • Follow •••​

My unofficial sources here say that the reason why some of the departments are slow in certifying and counting tallies is because the votes are very close. They do believe the reporting is going to pick up steam at around 1 AM-2 AM. They expect either the Limagne or the Basses-Alpes to transmit their votes next. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles @KyleMdeFlesselles • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Limagne reverses the Yes lead... but the No only has a razor-thin margin of 93 votes. #STGReferendum2020

1,226 likes
3m ago

 

[Kyle]

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles @KyleMdeFlesselles • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Basses-Alpes votes Yes for META. #STGReferendum2020

2,738 likes
3m ago

---

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

The Yes campaign should be feeling uneasy right now. The Basses-Alpes is usually a Coalition-voting department, and the Coalition supports META. META should've had a smooth sailing in this department. Instead the Basses-Alpes gave a lukewarm Yes to META. #STGReferendum2020​

2m ago • Reply​

Anne-Marcelline de Saint-Corentin @AMStCorentin • Follow •••​

The l'Indépendant team is now opening the feed for questions from our audience. You can reply to any of our posts with the hashtag #STGReferendum2020 and pose your Mercanti-language questions to any in our team. @FinnbjornMosgaard is also accepting Prydanian-language questions.​

2m ago • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles @KyleMdeFlesselles • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Leir votes No. #STGReferendum2020

1,256 likes
3m ago

 

[Kyle]

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles @KyleMdeFlesselles • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Margerides puts the Yes side on top again. #STGReferendum2020

4,021 likes
4m ago

---

Finnbjörn Mösgaard @FinnbjornMosgaard • Follow •••​

We have a Prydanian-language question from @MogensBronderslev, which I have translated to Mercanti: "What would be the effect of the Proposition 5 on Santonian-Prydanian relations, especially on #YEET? @BGKermadec @nm_delerestraint ​

#STGReferendum2020​

3m ago • Reply​

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

I don't think there will be a great effect on relations between the two countries if Saintonge joins META. What might be affected, though, would be if META directives conflict with that of YEET, which is not likely. Off the top of my head, one of the most significant changes would probably the fact that Prydanians would have a more difficult time immigrating and/or acquiring residency, now that citizens of META states will be up there in the priority list too. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

Nicholas-Martin Delerestraint @nm_delerestraint • Follow •••​

Saintonge's foreign policy will gravitate away from Craviter/Collandris/Gothis (and thus Prydania) and more towards the humongous, diverse continent where it geographically belongs. Saintonge may become the bridge between the two continents of this passes. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles @KyleMdeFlesselles • Follow •••
Proposition 5: Plaisance surprise - the Corb almost deletes the Yes lead! Yes leading only by sixty-five votes. #STGReferendum2020

1,228 likes
5m ago

---

Nicholas-Martin Delerestraint @nm_delerestraint • Follow •••​

That the Coalition-voting department of the Corb would vote against META was unthinkable until today. #STGReferendum2020​

4m ago • Reply​

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

The Basses-Alpes' weak Yes vote was a harbinger of a possible surprise in the east. Now the Corb voted against, albeit by a margin of four thousand votes. Quick scan of the results show the outlying intendancies voting weakly against META, giving a seventeen thousand vote deficit for the Yes side. But Plaisance's lukewarm Yes was not enough to even overcome this tiny No plurality in the outlying intendancies. #STGReferendum2020​

3m ago • Reply​

Nicholas-Martin Delerestraint @nm_delerestraint • Follow •••​

@BGKermadec Would the economy explain the trend? #STGReferendum2020​

1m ago • Reply​

​

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

I think it does. The weak economy and above-average unemployment in eastern Saintonge magnified the concerns that META might flood the country with cheap labour (exacerbating the unemployment and driving down wages) and/or META might cause some companies to close or move to other countries. We have seen it play in the Basses-Alpes and in the Corb - I won't be surprised if the Simbruins and other eastern departments would follow suit. This will not bode well for the Yes side, since they were expecting that the Coalition-voting east would deliver for META. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles @KyleMdeFlesselles • Follow •••
Proposition 5: Things going south for the Yes camp? The Vôges votes super-narrowly against - slashing the Yes majority from 65 to 18. #STGReferendum2020

1,408 likes
5m ago

---

Nicholas-Martin Delerestraint @nm_delerestraint • Follow •••​

This is crazy! The margins are in the four-digit range or less. #STGReferendum2020​

4m ago • Reply​

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

Another surprise, this time from the south. The Vôges, a previously Coalition-voting department in southern Saintonge, is not delivering the votes YES camp needs. #STGReferendum2020​

3m ago • Reply​

Nicholas-Martin Delerestraint @nm_delerestraint • Follow •••​

@BGKermadec I'll blame the economy again. #STGReferendum2020​

1m ago • Reply​

​

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

Of course! Also, the South has sizable chunks of Green voters, and the Green Party opposes META. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles @KyleMdeFlesselles • Follow •••
Proposition 5: Aubrac my heart, say you'll love me again: the Aubrac finally swings the pendulum to the NO side... just. #STGReferendum2020

5,220 likes
3m ago

---

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••​

Cringy joke is cringy, Kyle. @KyleMdeFlesselles #STGReferendum2020​

2m ago • Reply​

Anne-Marcelline de Saint-Corentin @AMStCorentin • Follow •••​

@KyleMdeFlesselles We'll dock your pay every time you make a cringy joke. #STGReferendum2020​

1m ago • Reply​

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles @KyleMdeFlesselles • Follow •••​

Just now ago • Reply​

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

The Aubrac, the Limagne, and the Hautes-Andes voted NO - western Saintonge may be giving META a narrow plurality against. If this is how Western Saintonge will vote, it's difficult to see where will the YES camp get their majority for META. #STGReferendum2020​

1m ago • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles @KyleMdeFlesselles • Follow •••
Proposition 5: Surprises abound: the Avaloirs give a majority for META. #STGReferendum2020

2,001 likes
3m ago

---

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

This is just one department out of seven in the north. I'm curious to see the results in the six other departments. Northern Saintonge/Bethanian Saintonge is a stronghold of the clerical faction of the National Party, which stayed neutral on the META issue. Some of them eventually supported it, but the most prominent holdout is Justice Minister Brice-Thibault Bardoux de Rosencoat, who abstained during the ratification vote. Mr Bardoux de Rosencoat (who opposes META) and Foreign Minister Marcelline Tréhet (of the pro-META Rénovateur faction) mostly led the debates in the Bethanian-language media. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles @KyleMdeFlesselles • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The High Coole gives META the cold shoulder: the Haute-Coole renders a majority against META. #STGReferendum2020

1,227 likes
3m ago

---

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

This is like the opposite of the Avaloirs. Central Saintonge is a stronghold of the agrarian faction, which was also noncommittal on META. Many, like Marie-Annette Méjansac of the Luberon and Brice-Archambault Coutlée of the Coole, plopped for META. Only a few went against. The agrarian faction leaders like Théobald Trébuchon of the Ravennes remained mostly neutral on the issue. So Central Saintonge registering a strong vote against META is also surprising. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles @KyleMdeFlesselles • Follow •••
Proposition 5: Ill be there for you: the Ill rescues the Yes side with a 68,000 vote margin. #STGReferendum2020

3,152 likes
3m ago

---

Anne-Marcelline de Saint-Corentin @AMStCorentin • Follow •••​

@KyleMdeFlesselles That'll be 10 livres, Kyle. #STGReferendum2020​

1m ago • Reply​

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles @KyleMdeFlesselles • Follow •••​

​

Just now • Reply​

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

The Ill votes the opposite of the Vôges - something which is not common, as the two departments generally have the same voting tendencies. Scanning the vote by intendancies, in both the Ill and the Vôges, the higher up in the valley, the lower the YES vote: Bronn (Ill) 55.65% YES > Brizambourg (Ill) 50.62% YES = Bréhaut (Vôges) 50.62% YES > St-Thélo (Vôges) 41.63% YES. The Vôges just has a lot more of these voters. #STGReferendum2020​

1m ago • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles @KyleMdeFlesselles • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The winds change as the Luberon delivers a NO majority. #STGReferendum2020

1,552 likes
3m ago

---

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

The central plains are voting strongly (relatively) against META: the Leir, the Haute-Coole, and the Luberon delivering NO votes. This is trouble for the Prime Minister and the YES camp. #STGReferendum2020​

1m ago • Reply​

 

[Haor Chall]

Ion Dardanus - Charrian Envoy to META
@Dardanus_HCOfficial

Very tense, watching the results of the #STGReferendum2020 come in! Hoping that Saintonians will soon be joining our fraternity of nations and see the benefits of META membership realised. #Synergyisourstrength

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
255 ~ 620

 

[Kyle]

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles @KyleMdeFlesselles • Follow •••
Proposition 5: It's Sane or InSane, depending on where you side: the department of the Sâne votes YES. #STGReferendum2020

2,554 likes
3m ago

---

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

If the votes from the Vôges, the Ill, the Sâne, and the Margerides are any indication, the South might be delivering a YES vote. Watch out for Bouche-du-Rhâne though, because Nyon and its working class labour strongholds may give a NO vote. #STGReferendum2020​

1m ago • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles @KyleMdeFlesselles • Follow •••
Proposition 5: HEAR ME ROER: the department of the Roer registers its disagreement with META. #STGReferendum2020

1,558 likes
3m ago

---

Anne-Marcelline de Saint-Corentin @AMStCorentin • Follow •••​

@KyleMdeFlesselles Kyle, at the rate you're going, you'll be working for free. #STGReferendum2020​

1m ago • Reply​

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles @KyleMdeFlesselles • Follow •••​

Just now • Reply​

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

It looks like the Loine Valley and Western Saintonge is thoroughly No. #STGReferendum2020​

1m ago • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The counting of the votes is speeding up - two departments declared their results in the past three minutes. The Scyotte and the Sûre both vote YES.
Scyotte (81): 47.95% YES | 46.74% NO | 5.31% Abstain
Sûre (88): 50.13% YES | 44.59% NO | 5.27% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

3,085 likes
3m ago

---

Nicholas-Martin Delerestraint @nm_delerestraint • Follow •••​

Surprised about the Scyotte. The patterns would have the Loine valley voting no. #STGReferendum2020​

2m ago • Reply​

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

The Scyotte voted YES by just a thin margin of 22K votes. That majority is thanks to the tri-cities area of Aubeterre, Montmirail, and Neuilly-sur-Loine. Otherwise the rest of the department voted NO, especially the northern part. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Borgne and the Haut-Rhâne register their opposition to META.
Borgne (28): 45.90% YES | 48.47% NO | 5.63% Abstain
Haut-Rhâne (72): 36.46% YES | 57.95% NO | 5.59% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

1,113 likes
3m ago

---

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

The Borgne joins the other central plains departments in voting NO. The strong NO vote in the southern department of the Haut-Rhâne might seem an anomaly at first, but it makes sense when one considers that the Haut-Rhâne has a base of Green voters, who likely voted NO. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Vauperté and the Côtes-du-Nord shift the tide in favour of YES.
Côtes-du-Nord (42): 52.81% YES | 41.89% NO | 5.30% Abstain
Vauperté (95): 48.44% YES | 46.30% NO | 5.26% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

3,571 likes
3m ago

---

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

Strong YES vote there from the Côtes-du-Nord, the home department of Foreign Minister Marcelline Tréhet, promoter of META. Meanwhile, the Vauperté's weak YES is probably due to Green influence. The Vauperté does have some pockets of Green support, but not as large as the neighbouring Haut-Rhâne's. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Loine and the Epte refuse META.
Epte (48): 43.95% YES | 50.60% NO | 5.44% Abstain
Loine (59): 45.81% YES | 48.70% NO | 5.49% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

1,596 likes
3m ago

---

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

That the Epte, a National-voting department, voting NO is not a surprise. All three of its MPs did not support META; all but Marc-Constantin Desloges (Epte-2) actively campaigned against. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: Despite the Coole voting NO, the Doire's large YES vote puts YES on top.
Coole (39): 46.49% YES | 48.20% NO | 5.31% Abstain
Doire (43): 50.05% YES | 44.61% NO | 5.34% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

3,006 likes
3m ago

---

Finnbjörn Mösgaard @FinnbjornMosgaard • Follow •••​

Declarations are imminent from the Yerres, the Sambre, and the Tessin. The bellwether department of the Sambre will be interesting. #STGReferendum2020​

2m ago • Reply​

Nicholas-Martin Delerestraint @nm_delerestraint • Follow •••​

Agree about the Sambre. The Saine-et-Loine may be less reliable now as an indicator since it's the Prime Minister's home department. But the Sambre is the next best bellwether. #STGReferendum2020​

1m ago • Reply​

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

Don't be fooled by the big difference between the Coole and the Doire - both central departments. The more rural parts of the Coole and the Doire gave a slight plurality for NO (for instance, St-Georges-sur-Coole was 46.6% YES/47.6% NO; Quinçay in the Doire was 46.2% YES/48.0% NO). The cause of their disparity was that the Coole had smaller and fewer provincial towns and cities that would give a YES vote. Malençon was not able to outvote the more substantial rural parts of the Coole. On the other hand, Loudun, Tilly-la-Campagne, and Gien were able to overcome the small NO margin brought by rural Doire. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: Reporting of results is speeding up. Three departments submitted their results in the past three minutes. The Yerres, the Sambre, and the Tessin all vote NO.
Sambre (77): 45.54% YES | 49.18% NO | 5.28% Abstain
Tessin (93): 45.11% YES | 49.71% NO | 5.18% Abstain
Yerres (99): 45.66% YES | 48.65% NO | 5.69% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

5,856 likes
3m ago

---

Nicholas-Martin Delerestraint @nm_delerestraint • Follow •••​

The bellwether Sambre votes no. Spells trouble for the YES campaign and the Prime Minister. #STGReferendum2020​

2m ago • Reply​

Anne-Marcelline de Saint-Corentin @AMStCorentin • Follow •••​

Agreed. The YES camp and the Prime Minister must be very nervous right now. The Sambre's vote is a close 45.5% YES / 49.2% NO and gave a minuscule 44K plurality to the NO. But if we extrapolate this to the country, if Saintonge as a whole votes the same as the Sambre, META may be defeated by 3.4 million votes. #STGReferendum2020​

1m ago • Reply​

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles @KyleMdeFlesselles • Follow •••​

From @ChimamandaNwakuba, our correspondent at the Prop 5 YES Campaign HQ in Saintes (translated):
Not just nervousness, but shock and disbelief at the YES Campaign headquartes in Saintes tonight as the results from the Sambre was announced (see picture below). They know the implications of the vote in this bellwether department and how close the vote was in a department that was thought to (and was expected to) vote YES. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

Finnbjörn Mösgaard @FinnbjornMosgaard • Follow •••​

For those interested, the details of the vote from the Sambre: #STGReferendum2020​

​

1m ago • Reply​

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

Interesting vote there from the Sambre, personally I was expecting it to give a slight YES plurality. The rural parts of the department gave a weak NO vote like most of the places we've seen. But the department's two main cities, Sainte-Menehould and Trappes, gave surprisingly stronger NO votes than expected. Ste-Menehould, a post-industrial town that would be much affected by META's labour liberalisation, had been drifting leftwards (with its National Assembly seat, Sambre-6, falling to the Nationals last year). Ste-Menehould would give a NO vote, but the strength of the NO vote there was surprising. The intendance of Ste-Menehould was 50% NO, the city proper of Ste-Menehould was like 58% NO. It also didn't help that its MP, Romaric Monsacré, opposed META.

Trappes, on the other hand, was supposed to be the YES' hope in the Sambre. Its MPs, Marie-Maëlys Tauziède-Rodier (Sambre-4) and Anne-Marguerite Mandelot (Sambre-5) were for META. And yet the city of Trappes voted only 49% YES, barely enough to overturn the NO plurality in the more rural parts of the intendance of Trappes.

I agree that this might portend a bad outcome for META/Proposition 5... but we've still got 62 departments to go and I presume, both sides aren't calling it over until it's over. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Tage and the Capoterre's strong YES votes inundate the Bourbre's weak NO to put YES in the lead.
Bourbre (30): 45.25% YES | 49.19% NO | 5.56% Abstain
Capoterre (34): 56.47% YES | 38.09% NO | 5.43% Abstain
Tage (89): 52.35% YES | 41.99% NO | 5.67% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

3,065 likes
3m ago

---

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

A good consolation to the YES after losing the Sambre. Capoterre's 56.5% YES is the highest YES vote so far in a department. Not unexpected for a Coalition-voting department. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Cenise turns in a huge NO lead, with the Chalaronne and the Vesle joining it.
Cenise (35): 27.48% YES | 66.93% NO | 5.59% Abstain
Chalaronne (36): 46.17% YES | 48.46% NO | 5.37% Abstain
Vesle (89): 44.16% YES | 50.56% NO | 5.28% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

2,882 likes
3m ago

---

Nicholas-Martin Delerestraint @nm_delerestraint • Follow •••​

Holy cow. The Cenise dumps a one million vote lead for NO. #STGReferendum2020​

2m ago • Reply​

Anne-Marcelline de Saint-Corentin @AMStCorentin • Follow •••​

Is this the moment in which the NO pulls away? #STGReferendum2020​

1m ago • Reply​

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

If Capoterre had the strongest YES so far, more populous Cenise's NO is the strongest now. Two-thirds of the voters in the Cenise rejected META. This is consistent with the department's profile - industrial/post-industrial areas, with the southern part of the department home to the lower-class suburbs of Saintes. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Baltée, the Basse-Bléone, and the Monce-et-Briance eat into the NO lead.
Baltée (23): 51.96% YES | 42.78% NO | 5.26% Abstain
Basse-Bléone (25): 50.14% YES | 44.60% NO | 5.27% Abstain
Monce-et-Briance (65): 53.26% YES | 41.44% NO | 5.30% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

3,526 likes
3m ago

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Boëme, the Dropt, and the Dyle slash the NO lead.
Boëme (27): 50.91% YES | 43.61% NO | 5.47% Abstain
Dropt (45): 50.88% YES | 43.65% NO | 5.46% Abstain
Dyle (47): 51.97% YES | 42.60% NO | 5.44% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

3,115 likes
3m ago

---

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

With the vote in the Boëme looking like that, we may have Bethanian-speaking northwestern Saintonge putting in a majority for META. In my experience as a Bethanian, the spectre of immigrants does not loom large in bilingual Bethany+Domnonée than in the rest of Saintonge. But that is not to say that Santonians are xenophobic. Haor Chall's Daily Standard has an excellent article on this.

Dyle's YES vote proves that the South may still deliver for META, while the Dropt's YES mirrors that of the Doire's earlier. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The previous pattern repeats - the Authie, the Basses-Brômes, and the Côle's overturn the NO lead.
Authie (21): 53.05% YES | 41.43% NO | 5.52% Abstain
Basses-Brômes (32): 50.68% YES | 44.00% NO | 5.32% Abstain
Côle (38): 51.01% YES | 43.35% NO | 5.64% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

2,898 likes
3m ago

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: Three central departments oppose META, but not enough to shift the majority.
Lignon (56): 46.29% YES | 48.28% NO | 5.43% Abstain
Ravennes (71): 45.12% YES | 49.44% NO | 5.44% Abstain
Seudre (85): 46.79% YES | 47.95% NO | 5.26% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

1,565 likes
3m ago

---

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

Typical central plains department votes. A weak NO; with the rural areas outvoting the provincial towns. The towns of Tiffauges (Lignon) and Thouars (Ravennes) actually voted by a majority in favour of META, but the rest of their department shouted them down. Interesting vote from the Seudre though. Aurigny (Seudre), for all its size, only delivered a weak YES - only 49.7% YES. It might be that unlike Tiffauges and Thouars, Aurigny contains sizable industries that might be affected by META. #STGReferendum2020​

1m ago • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Basses-Andes and the Tech votes NO, the Lac votes YES, but the overall total shifts to NO's favour.
Basses-Andes (13): 46.38% YES | 47.98% NO | 5.63% Abstain
Lac (53): 49.64% YES | 45.19% NO | 5.18% Abstain
Tech (92): 46.47% YES | 48.29% NO | 5.24% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

1,365 likes
3m ago

---

Nicholas-Martin Delerestraint @nm_delerestraint • Follow •••​

Is this a joke? Almost half of the vote in and we have 161 VOTE MARGIN!? #STGReferendum2020​

2m ago • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Arconce (!) and the Queyras vote YES; the Vercors vote NO. YES back in the lead.
Arconce (16): 47.76% YES | 46.75% NO | 5.49% Abstain
Queyras (69): 47.67% YES | 46.99% NO | 5.34% Abstain
Vercors (96): 46.19% YES | 48.22% NO | 5.59% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

3,448 likes
3m ago

---

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

The Arconce is interesting here - it is still the only Loine Valley department south of the Scyotte to vote YES. Its surrounding departments and the adjacent central plains are all voting NO. Part of the credit for the narrow YES win would probably go to the deputy for the fourth electoral circumscription of the Arconce, Ms Louise-Ophélie Bachelard (National). Ms Bachelard was in the news during the campaign period for going door-to-door to explain META to her constituents and urge them to vote for. It paid off: the city of Largentières, which she represents, voted 54% in favour of META. Overall, Arconce-4 voted 52% YES, while the rest of the department of the Arconce voted NO. #STGReferendum2020​

1m ago • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Besbre gives a thin margin to YES, but the Rhue and the Dronne vote NO, reversing the previous YES lead.
Besbre (24): 47.29% YES | 47.04% NO | 5.67% Abstain
Dronne (44): 46.93% YES | 47.51% NO | 5.55% Abstain
Rhue (73): 47.09% YES | 47.58% NO | 5.33% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

2,858 likes
3m ago

---

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

The story of the Besbre is the same as the story of neighbouring Scyotte. The cities of Niort and Dieppe gave YES majorities, but the mostly rural rest of the department voted NO. #STGReferendum2020​

1m ago • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Loing and the Haute-Loine both vote NO, but the Inde's strong YES vote put the YES back in the lead.
Inde (52): 50.76% YES | 43.82% NO | 5.42% Abstain
Haute-Loine (60): 45.45% YES | 48.69% NO | 5.86% Abstain
Loing (61): 45.68% YES | 48.47% NO | 5.58% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

3,842 likes
3m ago

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Hautes-Brômes votes YES, while the Durance and the Haute-Saine vote NO. NO in the lead.
Hautes-Brômes (33): 48.56% YES | 45.85% NO | 5.59% Abstain
Durance (46): 45.62% YES | 48.72% NO | 5.66% Abstain
Haute-Saine (75): 46.31% YES | 48.23% NO | 5.46% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

1,365 likes
3m ago

---

Nicholas-Martin Delerestraint @nm_delerestraint • Follow •••​

*sighs* 522!? #STGReferendum2020​

2m ago • Reply​

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

The Durance is a surprise, considering that it's an eastern department and that neighbouring Queyras voted YES. The Queyras and the Durance share the same voting tendencies and it's surprising to see these two departments vote opposite of each other. This referendum is very divided, after all.

More info: Apparently, the Durance's rural areas voted strongly NO than the Queyras' rural areas. For example, the highest NO vote in the rural intendancies was Beaurepaire in the Durance (59% NO), while Rarogne in the Queyras only voted 51% NO. Of the cities, Soleure's (Queyras) 52% YES vote was higher than Valence's (Durance) 49% YES. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Aure and the Taur voted NO, but the Sée's large YES majority puts its side back in the lead.
Aure (20): 47.26% YES | 47.31% NO | 5.43% Abstain
Sée (83): 50.50% YES | 44.04% NO | 5.46% Abstain
Taur (91): 44.72% YES | 49.77% NO | 5.52% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

3,229 likes
3m ago

---

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

This is a story of voters not listening to their MP's endorsements. The Sée voted YES despite its most prominent National Assembly deputy, Justice Minister Brice-Thibault Bardoux de Rosencoat, supporting a NO vote. Clearly they were listening more to Foreign Minister Marcelline Tréhet from the other department over. The Taur voted NO even though its rock star deputy (yes, he is literally a rock star), Jourdain Clairault urged his constituents to vote YES. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Lys' strong YES vote was not able to overcome the objections of the Suippe and the Nébrodes.
Lys (63): 50.56% YES | 44.16% NO | 5.28% Abstain
Nébrodes (66): 46.38% YES | 48.10% NO | 5.52% Abstain
Suippe (87): 45.00% YES | 49.84% NO | 5.16% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

1,562 likes
3m ago

---

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

There is a Bethanian-language question from @CCKerprigent: What would happen if Saintonge rejects META?

My hunch is that the country would apply as a third party member (3PM) in META, like the status of Syrixia and Midir. This would be tenable only if there was a narrow defeat for META. Otherwise, if META was voted down by a strong margin, Saintonge might not even consider applying as 3PM as it's politically unpopular. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

 

[Haor Chall]

---

Ion Dardanus @Dardanus_HCOfficial • Follow •••​

@BGKermadec I think the one thing we can be certain of is that there isn't going to be a strong margin - either way. I remain hopeful we will have Saintonge join us as a full member still though, both META and Saintonge have a lot to gain from membership. Incidentally, what happened to @KyleMdeFlesselles? I had been enjoying his commentary! #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Lauter's strong YES vote overrule the objections of the Lisle and the Tamise.
Lauter (54): 53.72% YES | 41.03% NO | 5.24% Abstain
Lisle (58): 46.17% YES | 48.19% NO | 5.64% Abstain
Tamise (90): 46.28% YES | 48.19% NO | 5.54% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

3,265 likes
3m ago

---

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec @BGKermadec • Follow •••​

This result masks the Lisle's unexpected NO result. For much of the recent decades, the Lisle, up until 2019, was a Coalition-voting department, with even a big chunk of its farmers and rural voters vote Liberal. And yet rural Lisle voted NO: Jarrie 49.8% NO, St-Molf 49.7% NO, Moncey 49.7% NO. The intendance of Torcy-le-Grand, which contains well-off suburbs of Saintes, was the only one to vote YES, but the cities of Torcy-le-Grand, Réaux, and Meaux voted NO (presumably because these cities contain working-class areas). What carried the intendance for YES are those communes which are almost purely composed of well-off suburbs: Fontainebleau, Sandillon, Longjumeau, Lans-l'Hermitage, Louestault, Postillon, Saint-Pardoult-sur-Saine. Meanwhile, industrial Nogent-sur-Lisle voted 57% against META.​

​

Also, shoutout to @Dardanus_HCOfficial! We feel honoured that foreign dignitaries are following our livefeed. Thank you for staying with us!​

​

With regards to the fate of @KyleMdeFlesselles, I will leave it to our editor @AMStCorentin to explain. #STGReferendum2020​

2m ago. • Reply​

Anne-Marcelline de Saint-Corentin @AMStCorentin • Follow •••​

@Dardanus_HCOfficial @BGKermadec I think @KyleMdeFlesselles is in the special circle of hell reserved for those who make cringy jokes. #STGReferendum2020​

1m ago • Reply​

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles @KyleMdeFlesselles • Follow •••​

Can confirm.​

In all seriousness, though, @HunterKidColl took over the livefeed because they told me to take a power nap. This is a cushy workplace. #STGReferendum2020​

Just now • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Ource and the Hautes-Alpes don't like META.
Hautes-Alpes (12): 46.06% YES | 48.47% NO | 5.47% Abstain
Ource (67): 46.29% YES | 48.44% NO | 5.27% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

1,898 likes
3m ago

---

Finnbjörn Mösgaard @FinnbjornMosgaard • Follow •••​

Reporting by the departments is slowing down. Several large departments, including the Saine-et-Loine, the Sarine, the Simbruins, the Haine, the Bouche-du-Rhâne, the Semois, and the city of Saintes are yet to release their results. #STGReferendum2020​

1m ago • Reply​

 

[Kyle]

Hunter Kidlington de Collobrières @HunterKidColl • Follow •••
Proposition 5: The Sebre and the Arc vote YES.
Arc (15): 48.96% YES | 44.48% NO | 5.66% Abstain
Sebre (82): 51.56% YES | 43.20% NO | 5.25% Abstain
#STGReferendum2020

2,021 likes
3m ago