Santonian General Election 2019 Results

Kyle · Jun 22, 2019

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles
@KyleMdeFlesselles

Culture and Sports Minister Rachel Bordier-Nadège (Liberal) loses in Sarine-1. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
362 ~ 865

03:44 AM - 26 May 2019

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec
@BGKermadec

Of all the coastal districts in the Sarine, the 1st is the hardest one for Liberals or Radicals. The intendancy of Vallauris has a strong National base; the area around Calvaire/Mer is the swingiest part of the Sarine. The Liberals were banking on Bordier-Nadège’s star power; it failed. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
265 ~ 625

03:48 AM - 26 May 2019

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Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles
@KyleMdeFlesselles

The Dyle elects its two deputies in the first round. Jean-Myron Cotillard (L) is returned by Dyle-2; while Dyle-1 recalls Jean-Joseph Lamarque (L), the oldest deputy in the Assemblée, and replaces him with soon-to-be the youngest deputy, Brice-Eugène Guerrière-Verne (N). #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
236 ~ 668

03:48 AM - 26 May 2019

Anne-Marcelline de Saint-Corentin
@AMStCorentin

Correction to @KyleMdeFlesselles: Guerrière-Verne will not be the youngest member of the National Assembly, that distinction will go to Kévin-Justin Montrésor of Capoterre-1. Both were born in 1997: Guerrière-Verne in September, Montrésor in October. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
45 ~ 113

03:50 AM - 26 May 2019

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Brice-Gauthier Kermadec
@BGKermadec

And there’s still a possibility that Montrésor won’t be the youngest; even younger is Jérôme-Faustin Fresnel de Comborn of the Nationals, heading to the runoff in Trieux-3. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
79 ~ 226

04:00 AM - 26 May 2019

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Anne-Marcelline de Saint-Corentin@AMStCorentin

BREAKING NEWS: Prime Minister Jean-Louis Hauteclocque de Champtoceaux resigns as leader of the Liberal Party. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
1,698 ~ 4,225

04:00 AM - 26 May 2019

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles
@KyleMdeFlesselles

The lone circumscription of the Haut-Rhâne heads to the second round. The runoff will feature Greens vs. Nationals. All of the Greens’ four seats will now be heading to the second round. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
82 ~ 305

04:01 AM - 26 May 2019

Kyle · Jun 22, 2019

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles
@KyleMdeFlesselles

Liberal Health Minister Jeanne-Pauline Guérin is defeated in the first round in Chartreuse-2. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
485 ~ 996

04:05 AM - 26 May 2019

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec
@BGKermadec

Another casualty of the National tide. Of all the Chartreuse districts, Chartreuse-2 is the most Liberal, as it contains the most liberal parts of Gresible city. But the rest of the intendancy of Gresible swung away from the Liberals. Add to that the strong National tilt of the St-Théoffrey part of the district – you get this result. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
100 ~ 265

04:09 AM - 26 May 2019

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Marie-Marthé Parmentier
@MartheParmentier

Final results in the department of the Chartreuse show all of its 5 districts were won by the Nationals in the first round. Net gain of 4 for the Nationals. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
111 ~ 303

04:16 AM - 26 May 2019

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Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles
@KyleMdeFlesselles

Update on Departmental Council Elections: #leChoix2019
Haute-Bléone: L+R to NOC
Capoterre: L+R hold
Dyle: L+R to NOC
Ill: L+R to NOC
Luberon: N hold
Nébrodes: N hold
Haut-Rhâne: V to NOC
Tessin: NOC to N gain

National: 59 councils (+16)
Coalition: 11 councils (-20)
No overall control (NOC): 11 councils (+5)

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
752 ~ 1,669

04:10 AM - 26 May 2019

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles
@KyleMdeFlesselles

The Deputy Minister responsible for Tourism, Amélie Lejeune-Troussel (Liberals) is forced to a runoff in Lys-2, facing Trans-en-Griffonné mayor Marius-Kieran Poirier. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
36 ~ 100

04:13 AM - 26 May 2019

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec
@BGKermadec

It’s going to be an interesting second round in Lys-2. Poirier’s base is in Trans-en-Griffonné and the intendancy of Malaucène, which comprises half of the district. Lejeune-Troussel’s base is in the Tarascon half of the district. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
20 ~ 65

04:16 AM - 26 May 2019

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Kyle · Jun 23, 2019

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles
@KyleMdeFlesselles

Commerce Minister Théodore Prêcheur (Liberal) is forced to a runoff in Haute-Saine-2. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
744 ~ 1,985

04:16 AM - 26 May 2019

Nicolas-Martin Delerestraint
@nm_delerestraint

This is a close one, right @BGKermadec? #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
20 ~ 86

04:18 AM - 26 May 2019

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Brice-Gauthier Kermadec
@BGKermadec

Yes, It’s going to be at most “Lean Liberal”. 1st round L+R vote in Haute-Saine-2 is 53%. Depends on how the Greens vote and if the Coalition’s vote holds up in the second round. If there’s a seat there that’s going to be even more nail-biting in the runoff, it’s Haute-Saine-1:

#leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
235 ~ 891

04:24 AM - 26 May 2019

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Nicolas-Martin Delerestraint
@nm_delerestraint

Looks like it’s a fallout from the pipeline controversy. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
120 ~ 421

04:26 AM - 26 May 2019

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Brice-Gauthier Kermadec
@BGKermadec

@nm_delerestraint Considering that the Haute-Saine is – was – a strongly Liberal department, I’d say yes. But the attitude of the Green voters is unpredictable. We don’t know who they will vote for, if any, in the second round. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
87 ~ 356

04:29 AM - 26 May 2019

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Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles
@KyleMdeFlesselles

@nm_delerestraint It certainly looks like that. The National Party had just won the departmental council of the Haute-Saine. The Haute-Saine has not have a National government since 1929. #leChoix2019

Seat Distribution:
N – 55
L – 27
R – 9
V – 8

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
135 ~ 658

04:30 AM - 26 May 2019

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Brice-Gauthier Kermadec
@BGKermadec

Quick look: The marginal Rancoudray narrowly voted for Coalition. Large swings to Nationals in the intendancies where the pipeline is - Heuland, Avesnes/Helpe, Brétigny, Jumièges. Interestingly, the intendancy not crossed by the pipeline, Tôtes, shifted slightly towards the Greens. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
58 ~ 205

04:35 AM - 26 May 2019

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Kyle · Jun 24, 2019

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles
@KyleMdeFlesselles

Sâne-2 sends Industry Minister Pantaléon Giraudeau (Liberal) to a runoff. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
326 ~ 881

04:19 AM - 26 May 2019

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles
@KyleMdeFlesselles

Liberal deputy Maxime Jégo is defeated by National candidate Charles-Thibault Koeberlé in Lac-2. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
26 ~ 75

04:22 AM - 26 May 2019

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles
@KyleMdeFlesselles

The Liberal+Radical Coalition loses control of the Departmental Council of the Bouche-du-Rhâne. The department has been governed by the Liberals or a Liberal-Radical coalition since 1984. #leChoix2019

Seat Distribution:
N – 49
L – 32
R – 14
V – 4

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
200 ~ 523

04:24 AM - 26 May 2019

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles
@KyleMdeFlesselles

Liberals win the newly-created seat for Santonians abroad with 39% of votes. This seat elects members via first-past-the-post, not with a two round system. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
1,665 ~ 3,586

04:27 AM - 26 May 2019

Nicolas-Martin Delerestraint
@nm_delerestraint

Wow, a piece of good news for the Liberals amidst all these carnage. But do Santonians abroad really lean to the right? #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
205 ~ 569

04:30 AM - 26 May 2019

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Brice-Gauthier Kermadec
@BGKermadec

The Santonians in Ponterre voted massively for their fellow expat there. It's probably due to Lacépède's wide network in the many Santonians in Ponterre. In contrast, Küchly won only in Sil Dorsett, Sutherland, and Dax, which had fewer expats. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
336 ~ 798

04:38 AM - 26 May 2019

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Kyle · Jun 25, 2019

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles
@KyleMdeFlesselles

Update on Departmental Council Elections: #leChoix2019
Bouche-du-Rhâne: L+R to NOC
Lys: L+R to NOC
Haute-Saine: L+R to N gain
Saine-et-Loine: L+R to N gain
Sâne: L+R hold
Vauperté: L+R to NOC
Vôges: L+R to NOC

National: 61 councils (+18)
Coalition: 11 councils (-26)
No overall control (NOC): 15 councils (+9)

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
603 ~ 1,623

04:35 AM - 26 May 2019

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles
@KyleMdeFlesselles

From @BGKermadec: With the National Party winning the Dept. Council of the Saine-et-Loine, the National Party is projected to control the House of Lords. Effective control of the upper house is 98 seats.

Current Projection:
N: 104
L: 14
R: 9
V: 0
Seats to be determined: 40
Non-elected Lords: 29

#leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
967 ~ 2,116

04:42 AM - 26 May 2019

Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles
@KyleMdeFlesselles

Justice Minister Joseph-Humbert Frotland (Liberal) heads to the second round in Vôges-2. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
306 ~ 788

04:45 AM - 26 May 2019

Nicolas-Martin Delerestraint
@nm_delerestraint

Those are some abnormally low numbers for a Liberal cabinet minister in a southern district. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
85 ~ 330

04:48 AM - 26 May 2019

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Brice-Gauthier Kermadec
@BGKermadec

@nm_delerestraint I think that can be explained by southern Saintonge’s shift to the Nationals, compounded by issues faced by Mr. Frotland that surfaced in the last three days of the campaign. In addition, Vôges-2 is actually marginal on paper, it’s Vôges-1 that’s more Liberal. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
26 ~ 66

04:52 AM - 26 May 2019

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Héloïse Lamontagne-Riester
@HLamontagne-Riester

The counting in the Bouche-du-Rhâne is finished. Radicals hold on to the 1st district. The Nationals held on to the 2nd, 3rd, and 10th, while winning the 7th, 8th, and 9th from the Liberals. The 4th, 5th, and 6th will proceed to the runoff. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
103 ~ 406

04:53 AM - 26 May 2019

Kyle · Jun 26, 2019

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec
@BGKermadec

With the Lone Circumscription of the Vauperté heading to the runoff, all Santonian electoral circumscriptions have declared their results. The National Party wins overwhelmingly. #leChoix2019

Seats declared: 305: N=282 L=17 R=6 V=0
Seats going to the second round: 126

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
10,641 ~ 23,551

05:00 AM - 26 May 2019

Brice-Gauthier Kermadec
@BGKermadec

The popular vote tally (excludes seat abroad) is:
N: 43,932,248 (52.33%)
L: 23,612,969 (28.13%)
R: 11,661,010 (13.89%)
V: 4,744,521 (5.65%)

Turnout is 90.47%.

#leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
7,265 ~ 16,884

05:03 AM - 26 May 2019

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Kyle MacTaggart-de Flesselles
@KyleMdeFlesselles

Map of results: #leChoix2019

Seats declared: 431
N (red) = 282 seats
L (blue) = 16+1 seats
R (yellow) = 6 seats
V (green) = 0
Proceeds to runoff (white) = 126 seats

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
5,102 ~ 11,653

05:03 AM - 26 May 2019

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Brice-Gauthier Kermadec
@BGKermadec

The ruling Coalition of Liberals+Radicals lost heavily. 5 ministers and the President of the National Assembly lost their seats. 11 ministers will have to defend their seats in the second round. The leader of the Radicals also will head to the second round. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
4,895 ~ 10,032

05:06 AM - 26 May 2019

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Brice-Gauthier Kermadec
@BGKermadec

The Coalition was also punished in the local elections, losing 25 departments and retaining only 11. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
3,556 ~ 8,451

05:09 AM - 26 May 2019

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Anne-Marcelline de Saint-Corentin
@AMStCorentin

The National Party, it must be said, is just FIVE seats short of a two-thirds majority in the National Assembly. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
2,130 ~ 6,152

05:10 AM - 26 May 2019

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Jean-Martin Grandier
@JMGrandier

The Nationals are probably on course to achieve that as well. Right, @BGKermadec? #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
263 ~ 1,586

05:13 AM - 26 May 2019

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Brice-Gauthier Kermadec
@BGKermadec

Maybe, as there are a lot of low-lying fruit like Bouche-du-Rhâne-6 and Semois-4. I’ll have to analyse the first-round results first. That will be a subject of another article in a few weeks’ time. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
365 ~ 1,778

05:17 AM - 26 May 2019

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Kyle · Jun 27, 2019

Anne-Marcelline de Saint-Corentin
@AMStCorentin

What a denouément for this exciting election. Totally unexpected. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
1,556 ~ 4,215

05:15 AM - 26 May 2019

Jean-Martin Grandier
@JMGrandier

@AMStCorentin Almost all major polls got it wrong. Most showed Nationals and the Coalition tied in statistical dead heat at 40%-42%. Polling averages only showed N inching ahead only by 1-3 points in the final week. But the final results show a spread of 10 points! #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
718 ~ 1,745

05:18 AM - 26 May 2019

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Nicolas-Martin Delerestraint
@nm_delerestraint

Yes. Pollsters need to up their game. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
288 ~ 684

05:20 AM - 26 May 2019

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Brice-Gauthier Kermadec
@BGKermadec

I think this can be explained by a massive late swing of undecided voters for the Nationals. Undecided voters in the last poll was ~15%. If a huge majority of those broke for N, it would have accounted for the vote majority that we saw. We’ll look at the exit polls to confirm that. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
1,256 ~ 3,002

05:23 AM - 26 May 2019

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Brice-Gauthier Kermadec
@BGKermadec

If true, part of that massive swing may have been Ms. Courseaux’ good showing and big improvement in the second election debate. Because of Santonian election laws and the late date of the second debate, the polls did not catch the movement towards the Nationals. #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
1,157 ~ 2,895

05:26 AM - 26 May 2019

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Kyle · Jun 29, 2019

Anne-Marcelline de Saint-Corentin
@AMStCorentin

Thank you for staying with us! We will now be closing the livefeed of the Santonian 2019 general elections. We will be posting articles later.

Thank you to @KyleMdeFlesselles, @BGKermadec, @nm_delerestraint, @HLamontagne-Riester, @JMGrandier, @MartheParmentier, and @HunterKidColl (even if you're on holiday). Special shout out to actress and supermodel @BeaBardeau, who was apparently following our livefeed! #leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
506 ~ 9,512

05:30 AM - 26 May 2019

Anne-Marcelline de Saint-Corentin
@AMStCorentin

Our articles are now up!
Parliamentary elections: po.st/5g684Xfr54

Departmental and local elections: po.st/rv5121Ka57

#leChoix2019

REFLUTTS ~ FAVORITES
2,006 ~ 7,152

07:20 AM - 26 May 2019

Santonian General Election 2019 Results

Kyle

Keep pounding.

Kyle

Keep pounding.

Kyle

Keep pounding.

Kyle

Keep pounding.

Kyle

Keep pounding.

Kyle

Keep pounding.

Kyle

Keep pounding.

Kyle

Keep pounding.